'Millions of Diabetes patients may not have access to insulin by 2030'


As the number of people with diabetes soars, the growing demand for insulin will result in a shortfall for the drug, CNN has reported, citing findings from a new study.

The rate at which people are developing diabetes has experts anxious that we will not be able to keep up with the demand for insulin. Untreated diabetes could lead to heart and kidney diseases, blindness, amputation, and stroke.

But a study showcases that 79 million people with Type 2 will need it by 2030, and around half of them may not get access to it.

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In the next 12 years, half of those with type 2 diabetes won't be able to receive potentially life-saving insulin unless access to the drug improves, new research shows.

Insulin use is expected to rise 20 percent by 2030, and many people who need it for type 2 diabetes won't have access, a study from Stanford University suggests.

A study published in the journal Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology, says access to insulin will fall well short of demand.

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The Guardian quoted Dr. Sanjay Basu from Stanford University in the USA, who led the research, as saying the current levels of insulin access are inadequate especially in Africa and Asia, requiring more efforts to overcome this shortage.

Insulin treatment is costly, and the worldwide insulin market is presently dominated by only three major manufacturers. "They are also based on various assumptions, including that type 2 diabetes prevalence will continue to increase linearly".

"In spite of the UN's promise to treat non-communicable illness and guarantee global access to drugs for diabetes, over most part of the world insulin is rare and superfluously troublesome for patients to have an access". As per the study report, 79 million people will need insulin to manage diabetes and out of this huge number, more than half will find it hard to obtain this drug. "Except if governments start activities to make insulin accessible and affordable, at that point its utilization is continually going to be a long way from optimal".

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The study also predicts using a higher treatment target for A1C levels, a measure for tracking blood glucose, could reduce the number of people who need to use insulin. In May, William T. Cefalu, the chief scientific, medical and mission officer with the American Diabetes Association, testified before Senate to discussing insulin price, which have tripled between 2002 and 2013.